5 Comments

I love the work you put into this. The only thing I might disagree is with obese Greg's horse. I think he has a Big shot. I also like your take on known agenda. I must say its a delight to see this cause I used to try to get you to tell me stuff like this and it was like pulling teeth! GOOD LUCK TO ALL.

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Enjoyed the analysis. There’s something about Essential Quality that gives me reservationists about him winning, He’s received some very good setups in his last few races. I don’t know about comparing Medina Spirit to Silver Charm. Silver Charm had a lot of fight in him, and Charm’s loss to Free House in the Santa Anita Derby was one of the best losing efforts in a Derby prep that I’ve seen. At least the pace this year might be a throwback to some of the Derbys before the points system. No Groovys in here, but Caddo River should be on the engine early with a few others in close pursuit.

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My original pick was Essential Quality, and I see no reason to get off of him now. Of the rest, I like Mandaloun, just because, and will perhaps use Midnight Bourbon or King Fury for my longshots. I will NOT be using any horse trained by Baffert; if he beats me, so be it. He has won enough, and I don't trust him.

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Appreciate the extensive analysis.

Question, Medina ran very quickly after treatment for entrapped epiglottis and my only experience with this is a very long time ago. Is there a chance he was compromised and it will continue to improve?

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Fair rankings, i just think king fury might just be a bit low. His running style, and looks like a new improved horse in lexington stakes from 2 year old form.

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